Cost of Borrowing to Shoot Up Significantly As Bank of Ghana Hikes Policy Rate

Governor of BoG, Dr Ernest Addison

Accra, Ghana//-In its attempt to arrest the country’s galloping inflation, the Bank of Ghana (BoG) has ended up increasing cost of borrowing following the hike of its policy rate by 300 basis points to 22% from the previous 19%.

In a press release issued after an Emergency Monetary Policy Committee meeting today, August 17, 2022, Chairman of the MPC and Governor of BoG, Dr Ernest Addison said: “The latest consumer price index release showed that the headline inflation accelerated further for the eleventh consecutive month to 31.7 percent in July 2022, from 29.8 percent in June 2022. This was driven by both food and non-food price pressures. Food inflation rose to 32.3 percent in July 2022 from 30.7 percent in June 2022”.

Similarly, non-food inflation increased to 31.3 percent from 29.1 percent in June 2022, contributing 55 percent to the rise in headline inflation in July 2022.

The above developments have translated into relatively strong underlying inflationary pressures. The Bank’s core measure of inflation, defined to exclude energy and utility indices, increased to 30.2 percent in July 2022 from 28.4 percent in June”

On month-on-month basis, headline inflation rose by 3.1 percent in July 2022 compared with 3.0 percent in June 2022. The increase in monthly inflation was underpinned by increases of 3.3 percent and 3.0 percent in food and non-food inflation respectively, according to the press release.

While recent developments in the foreign exchange market showed elevated demand pressures, reflecting among others, continued heightening of uncertainties in the global economy, rising inflation in many advanced economies and the resultant coordinated tightening of monetary policy stance by major central banks.

This has further tightened global financing conditions with significant implications for Emerging Markets and Developing Economies (EMDEs), especially for those with weak fundamentals.

.It noted that the US Dollar has strengthened against all major currencies. From the beginning of the year to date, the pound sterling has weakened against the US dollar by 12.4 percent while the Euro has also weakened by 11.8 percent.

Countries similar to Ghana (Ghana’s peers) are all experiencing sharp depreciation to date. The Ghana Cedi has depreciated by 25.5 percent year-to-date, reflecting the Ghana[1]specific situation, including the challenging financing of the budget from domestic and external sources, downgrading of sovereign credit rating, non[1]residents disinvestment in local currency bonds, and loss of reserve buffer

Also, the execution of the budget for the year has remained challenging. Revenue has not kept pace with projections and created financing challenges. In the absence of access to the international capital market and given the constrained domestic financing, central bank overdraft has helped to close the financing gap as reflected in the mid-year budget review.

The Bank of Ghana is working with the Ministry of Finance to agree on a cap on the overdraft. 7. Whilst addressing the immediate financing problems, the ongoing policy discussions with the IMF are expected to address the underlying macroeconomic challenges, restore fiscal and debt sustainability, and provide sustainable balance of payments cushion.

Additional Measures

The Committee also took the following additional measures: a. Raise the primary reserve requirement of banks from 12 percent to 15 percent to be implemented in a phased manner: i. 13 percent from 1 st September, 2022 ii. 14 percent by 1 st October, 2022 iii. 15 percent by 1 st November, 2022.

To boost the supply of foreign exchange to the economy, the Bank of Ghana is working collaboratively with the mining firms, international oil companies, and their bankers to purchase all foreign exchange arising from the voluntary repatriation of export proceeds from mining, and oil and gas companies. This will strengthen the central bank’s foreign exchange auctions.

African Eye Report

 

 

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